TAIWAN: LED-related technologies have been developing rapidly over the recent years, and the industrial chain has been focused on innovative applications. The financial crisis in 2011 not only triggered rapid changes in the global LED market but it also added factors of uncertainty for the LED industry.
From November 1 to November 2, 2011, several industry heavyweights, including the inventor of GaN LED Dr. Shuji Nakamura, the inventor of yellow LED George Craford and LEDinside’s analysts will be participate in this analysis of the global LED industry at the LEDforum 2011 Taipei. This is an annual LED seminar organized by LEDinside, a research division of TrendForce.
Dr. Shuji Nakamura, the inventor of GaN LED and a professor of University of California, Santa Barbara, and George Craford, a SSL fellow of Philips Lumileds, will address the ground-breaking developments of the LED industry. Nakamura states that since 2001, the invention of nonpolar and semipolar GaNs gave LEDs and LDs higher efficiency. The short efficacy droop of the (20-2-1) LED will help the development of blue and green LDs.
Compared with other semipolar LED’s uneven efficiencies, the new LED still requires further research. On the other hand, Craford points out that LED lighting application sector is on the verge of entering the next generation. He is optimistic about the future of LED lighting and the prospects propelled by the LED chip efficacy and quality enhancement.
Moreover, experts of MOCVD equipment major makers Aixtron, Veeco will analyze the manufacture of LED. The continuous improvement of MOCVD equipment will decrease the manufacturing cost and carbon footprint and increase the capacity of upstream LED chip manufacturers
From the market perspective, LEDinside analyst team predicts that LED’s penetration rate in the HBLED market will increase from 24 percent to 52 percent in the next five years; by 2012, the LED backlight market is expected to face weak demand and underperformance of LED penetration rate.
Due to the improved economy growth of 2011, the value of the global lighting market will increase by 5.6 percent to $83.9 billion. Most notably, the European market plays an integral role in the global LED lighting market, accounting for 27-28 percent of the market value, which will most likely surge to 47 percent in the next five years.
Looking beyond Europe, the Chinese LED market is another major focus. LEDinside’s analysts believe that China’s subsidy policies spur the development of the LED industry: China taking up 15.4 percent of the value of the global lighting market is a testament to it. However, China’s present currency policy will affect local governments’ policies and loans of enterprises, which will cause LED chip makers to terminate their expansion plans.
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